Google: Advertising Not Enough?

August 1, 2019

DarkCyber noted a write up called “Google Is Testing a Monthly App Subscription Service for Android.” The write up asserts:

Google has been testing a monthly subscription service for apps and games, under the name Google Play Pass. The move to a subscription model has been rumored since before Apple introduced its ‘Apple Arcade‘ offering earlier in the year. The package looks almost ready to launch, with $4.99 (£4.12 in rapidly deflating Borisbucks) set as the monthly fee – not a lot considering it gives access to ‘thousands’ of apps, all without adverts and In-App Purchasing (IAP).

The revenue streams such a fee would produce are subject to the assumptions plugged into a spreadsheet. Use the “right” assumptions — that is, the ones with the biggest payback to the GOOG — and the analyst can plot the take off trajectory of a Chengdu J-20.

DarkCyber has a few questions:

  1. Are the likely economic penalties some government agencies may impose on Google sufficiently dire to warrant this “stable” revenue play?
  2. Are advertising revenues weakening so that an “old school” money making model is needed?
  3. Is Google assembling a billing model to support its initiatives in online gaming; for example, subscribers get access to pre release digital “goodies” for gamers?

Worth monitoring because this change is another signal that the “old” Google may be fading.

Stephen E Arnold, August 1, 2019

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