A New Year Is Coming: Let Us Confront the New Reality
December 21, 2020
Nope, not Covid. Nope, not the financial crisis. Nope, not the social discontinuities. Nope, not the big technology monopoly clown show.
What then?
How about security insecurity. Do you like the phrase? I do because it communicates that users of online systems may never know if the system or systems are secure.
One can pretend, what I call security theater, of course.
The new reality is that an actor or actors has slipped in the stage door after driving a delivery van near the security theater and double parked for what may have been months. The individuals do not work according to New York City labor rules. Nope, these actors moved around, ordered takeout, and lounged on the sidewalks. People passing did not notice. You know the New York attitude: We are definitely with it. This is Broadway.
I read “A Hack Foretold.” I was not impressed. The reason is that the original Internet was technology Play-Doh. Who could imagine the parti-colored constructs blobs of red, blue, and yellow could become.
The write up states with the assured naiveté of a thumb typer:
The point is the authorities have known about hacking for a long time. Whole bureaucracies have been established, and presidential directives have been promulgated, to enhance cybersecurity—and some of their actions have been effective. Still, the contest between cyber offense and -defense is a never-ending race, where the offense has the advantage and, so, the defense must never let up its guard. While security is a lot better than it used to be, vast networks have been left exposed in one way or another, and dedicated hackers who very much want to get inside those networks—and who have the resources of a nation-state—figure out a way.
I want to point out that the cyber security industry has flowered into billions of dollars a year because home economics majors, working with MBAs, constructed a fantasy story about computer security.
Security insecurity is little more than another symptom of efficiency thinking. What can be done to reduce costs and maximize revenue. Oh, so some people lose their jobs in Canton, Illinois, when the John Deere factory goes away. “Tough cookies,” say the efficiency wizards.
We have created a situation in which security insecurity is going to become a digital Covid. I am delighted I am old, retired, and living in a hollow in rural Kentucky. Can you imagine the meetings, the memoranda, the reports, and the self-serving explanations of:
- Cyber security vendors
- Smart software which acts like an antibody to protect a system
- Individual security experts who did the “good enough” work to spoof the clueless lawyers, accountants, bureaucrats, and MBAs who manage technology operations
- Consultants like those who populate LinkedIn and BrightTALK with lectures about security
- Experts who assert that monitoring the Dark Web, Facebook, and chat provide an early warning of actions to come.
I could go on and toss in security appliance vendors, university professors who convert a clever workaround into a peer reviewed paper for IEEE or ACM, and former bad actors who see the light and become trusted advisors after serving jail time.
The New Reality is that I am not sure how one goes about determining the priorities for figuring out what was compromised, determining what other vulnerabilities have been installed, and bring up systems which do not have the charming characteristics of specialized software firms which have code that hides itself so that it can happily reinstall itself.
I spoke with a former CIA professional twice in the last 48 hours. He asked me, “What do I recommend to remediate the problem?” My answer was, “Investigate.”
The actors lounging in front of the security theater are not chatterboxes, and I have seen zero verifiable evidence that defines the timing, scope, and actions of these actors. Why guess then? Why look back and say “woulda, coulda, shoulda.” The time to embrace the New Reality is here.
The security theater has to go dark, and we need a new construct. Expensive, time consuming, and difficult for sure. Failure, however, means changes that those wrought by Covid are trivial. Thumb typers, are you confident your online activities are secure? In deference to the holiday season, here’s a modified carol: Deck the halls with boughs of folly, Tra la la, la la la la.
Stephen E Arnold, December 21, 2020
Explaining the 2020 End of Year Cyber Hack of Big, Fat Targets of Opportunity
December 18, 2020
I know you have heard about the end of year cyber attack. The end of 2020 is a zinger. But what caused the problem? Who is responsible? Which cyber security expert is the one to believe? Beyond Search has located an explanation, courtesy of Lorem Ipsum Anything. We posed these questions to the smart software at this next generation thumb typing site and learned:
Security harm resilience change others Beneficiaries food security persons groups objects. Institutions ecosystems entity referent security freedom change forces resilience example. Absence good want presence phenomenon range protection senses foundations secrecy. damage term purpose systems acts guarding security systems security guard security forces security companies. Security cameras e.g. state of mind telephone line containment room cell.
Makes the uptown explanations from assorted experts wishing they could have explained the cyber kick in the ribs as well. Yep, 2020 is year to remember. “Absence good want presence.”
Well said.
Stephen E Arnold, December 18, 2020
Security Vendors: Despite Marketing Claims for Smart Software Knee Jerk Response Is the Name of the Game
December 16, 2020
Update 3, December 16, 2020 at 1005 am US Eastern, the White House has activate its cyber emergency response protocol. Source: “White House Quietly Activates Cyber Emergency Response” at Cyberscoop.com. The directive is located at this link and verified at 1009 am US Eastern as online.
Update 2, December 16, 2020 at 1002 am US Eastern. The Department of Treasury has been identified as a entity compromised by the SolarWinds’ misstep. Source: US “Treasury, Commerce Depts. Hacked through SolarWinds Compromise” at KrebsonSecurity.com
Update 1, December 16, 2020, at 950 am US Eastern. The SolarWinds’ security misstep may have taken place in 2018. Source: “SolarWinds Leaked FTP Credentials through a Public GitHub Repo “mib-importer” Since 2018” at SaveBreach.com
I talked about security theater in a short interview/conversation with a former CIA professional. The original video of that conversation is here. My use of the term security theater is intended to convey the showmanship that vendors of cyber security software have embraced for the last five years, maybe more. The claims of Dark Web threat intelligence, the efficacy of investigative software with automated data feeds, and Bayesian methods which inoculate a client from bad actors— maybe this is just Madison Avenue gone mad. On the other hand, maybe these products and services don’t work particularly well. Maybe these products and services are anchored in what bad actors did yesterday and are blind to the here and now of dudes and dudettes with clever names?
Evidence of this approach to a spectacular security failure is documented in the estimable Wall Street Journal (hello, Mr. Murdoch) and the former Ziff entity ZDNet. Numerous online publications have reported, commented, and opined about the issue. One outfit with a bit of first hand experience with security challenges (yes, I am thinking about Microsoft) reported “SolarWinds Says Hack Affected 18,000 Customers, Including Two Major Government Agencies.”
One point seems to be sidestepped in the coverage of this “concern.” The corrective measures kicked in after the bad actors had compromised and accessed what may be sensitive data. Just a mere 18,000 customers were affected. Who were these “customers”? The list seems to have been disappeared from the SolarWinds’ Web site and from the Google cache. But Newsweek, an online information service, posted this which may, of course, be horse feathers (sort of like security vendors’ security systems?):
Security Theatre: Act II of Flimsies or the Security Shibboleth Myth
December 16, 2020
The election is over. The activities in 2015 and 2016 were Act I. I think we are now in Act II of “Flimsies or the Security Shibboleth Myth.” I am perched happily on a small hill in rural Kentucky. I know zero about the machinations of the giant security outfits and the throbbing US government agencies. I do, however, read some news once in a while; for example, “SolarWinds Orion: More US Government Agencies Hacked.” The main idea is that the cyber breach and theft of pentest tools from FireEye, a prestigious cyber security firm, is very much in the news. The BBC story points out that a number of US government agencies were allegedly breached:
- US Department of Defense (does that include the Defense Intelligence Agency).
- US Department of State (does anyone work there any more?)
- US Department of Homeland Security
- US Department of Treasury (the FinCen folks perhaps?)
A contact told me that the estimable US Department of Commerce was a victim as well.
The main question for me is,
Do these Fancy Dan, often six figure or more cyber security systems work?
Another question:
Are the technologies ranging from Dark Web threat reports to smart software that works like a human immune system real or marketing fluff?
I don’t know the answer to these questions, but I am wondering what Act III will present.
Stephen E Arnold, December 16, 2020
DarkCyber for December 15, 2020, Now Available
December 15, 2020
The DarkCyber video news program for December 15, 2020, is now available at this link. This week’s program includes:
- Fact or fiction: Work around iCloud security for an iPad
- Germany opens backdoor to one encrypted email system
- The Dark Web and Covid is a thing
- Smart weapons and surgical strikes: The future of war
- NSO Group in the spotlight again
- Current information about beam weapons.
You may also view the program via the embedded player on the Beyond Search Web site at this link. Plus, no begging for dollars and no advertising.
Kenny Toth, December 15, 2020
France: Know Your Anonymous Digital Currency Customers
December 14, 2020
I think this is a fine idea. France has many fine ideas. Do not say PC; say micro ordinature. Do not feed that chicken this; feed that chicken this. Do not confuse the right and left side of the Rhone.
“France Declares War on Crypto Anonymity, Cites ‘Terrorism’ in KYC Mandate” explains that the land of more than 200 cheese and a silky method of making friends in England wants crypto currency to be different. You know. Just not anonymous.
The write up states:
All virtual asset service providers must immediately begin checking their customers’ identities, verifying “beneficial owners” and prohibit anonymous crypto accounts, according to the press release from Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire. He called the action a necessary step in France’s fight against terrorism. The press release invoked a terrorist cell that apparently financed itself with crypto until its dismantling in September 2019. “We must drain the euro from all terrorist financing channels,” Le Maire declared in a tweet.
Yes, very French.
I must admit, however, that the French posture regarding crypto currency is one that seems okay with me. My research assistants remind me that more than half of anonymous Bitcoin transactions appear to be related to illegal activities.
The Dark Web would not have functioning markets for contraband without the now ubiquitous anonymous digital currency.
My hunch is that France’s announcement is a harbinger of similar actions from other nation states. The more quickly one of the lubricants of a range of illegal activities is linked to actual and verifiable identities certain types of crime will become closer to the long arm of the law.
Stephen E Arnold, December 14, 2020
DarkCyber for December 1, 2020, Now Available
December 1, 2020
DarkCyber reports about Maltrail, an open source cyber tool for detecting malicious traffic. Crime as a Service matures. Now anyone can point-and-click through a ransomware attack. Bad actors helpfully make cyber crime less of a hassle. Insider threats — what DarkCyber calls “the Snowden play” — are becoming more prevalent. Why? A need for money, revenge, or a dose of that old Silicon Valley attitude.
The feature in this episode is a summary of the next-generation in entity recognition from videos and still images. Face recognition is not the most reliable technology in the world; however, researchers from China and Japan have figured out how to match a person’s gait to an individual. Ergo gait recognition. A link to the technical details appears in the program.
The program features a brief extract from a conversation between Robert David Steele, a former CIA professional, and Stephen E Arnold (owner of Dark Cyber). Arnold describes some of the less appreciated reasons why digital information creates new challenges for law enforcement and intelligence professionals. Good news? Not really.
The final story in the program addresses the urgent need for counter unmanned aerial systems by local, county, and statement law enforcement agencies. Individuals are ramming drones into police helicopters. The DarkCyber discussion of this problem includes a link to a series of recommendations promulgated by the British government to address this kinetic use of drones.
DarkCyber is produced by Beyond Search. The video program appears every two weeks. The third season of DarkCyber begins in January 2021. The program is non-commercial, does not accept advertising, and does not beg for dollars. How is this possible? DarkCyber is not sure.
You can view the program at this link.
Kenny Toth, December 1, 2020
Security Is a Game
November 12, 2020
This article’s headline caught my attention: “Stop Thinking of Cybersecurity As a Problem: Think of It As a Game.” I think I understand. The write up asserts:
The thing is, cybersecurity isn’t a battle that’s ultimately won, but an ongoing game to play every day against attackers who want to take your systems down. We won’t find a one-size-fits-all solution for the vulnerabilities that were exposed by the pandemic. Instead, each company needs to charge the field and fend off their opponent based on the rules of play. Today, those rules are that anything connected to the internet is fair game for cybercriminals, and it’s on organizations to protect these digital assets.
Interesting idea. Numerous cyber security solutions are available. Some organizations have multiple solutions in place. Nevertheless, bad actors continue to have success. If the information in Risk Based Security 2020 Q3 Report Data Breach QuickView is anywhere close to accurate. The “game” is being won by bad actors: Lots of data was sucked down by cyber criminals in the last nine months.
Fun, right?
Stephen E Arnold, November 12, 2020
Microsoft Security: Time for a Rethink
November 1, 2020
Not long ago, the Wall Street Journal ran this full page ad for a cyber security company named Intrusion:
The ad is interesting because it highlights the failure of cyber security. Evidence of this ineffective defense is revealed in reports from the FBI, Interpol, and independent researchers: Cyber crime, particularly phishing and ransomware, are increasing. There are hundreds of threat neutralizers, smart cyber shields, and a mind boggling array of AI, machine learning, and predictive methods which are not particularly effective.
“Microsoft 365 Administrators Fail to Implement Basic Security Like MFA” provides some interesting information about the state of security for a widely used software system developed by Microsoft.
The article reveals that researchers have found that 99 percent of breaches can be “prevented using MFA.” MFA is cyber lingo for multi-factor authentication. A common way to prove that a log on is valid is to use a password. But before the password lets the user into the system, a one time code is sent to a mobile phone. The user enters the code from the phone and the system lets the person access the system. Sounds foolproof.
The write up states:
The survey research shows that approximately 78% of Microsoft 365 administrators do not have multi-factor authentication (MFA) activated.
Another finding is that:
Microsoft 365 administrators are given excessive control, leading to increased access to sensitive information. 57% of global organizations have Microsoft 365 administrators with excess permissions to access, modify, or share critical data. In addition, 36% of Microsoft 365 administrators are global admins, meaning these administrators can essentially do whatever they want in Microsoft 365. CIS O365 security guidelines suggests limiting the number of global admins to two-four operators maximum per business.
Let’s step back. If the information in the write up is correct, a major security issue is associated with Microsoft’s software. With an increase in breaches, is it time to ask:
Should Microsoft engage in a rethink of its security methods?
We know that third party vendors are not able to stem the tide of cyber crime. A security company would not buy a full page ad in the Wall Street Journal to call attention to failure if it were just marketing fluff. We know that Microsoft admins and Microsoft apps are vulnerable.
Perhaps shifting the burden from the software and cloud vendor to the user is not the optimal approach when one seeks to make security more effective and efficient. The shift is probably more economical for Microsoft; that is, let the customer carry the burden.
Some Microsoft customers may push back and say, “Wrong.” Perhaps regulators will show more interest in security if their newfound energy for taking action against monopolies does not wane? Over to the JEDI knights.
Stephen E Arnold, November 1, 2020
Organizational Security: Many Vendors, Many Breaches
October 30, 2020
I noted a write up with a fraught title: “Breaches Down 51%, Exposed Records Set New Record with 36 Billion So Far.” I interpreted this to mean “fewer security breaches but more data compromised.”
The write up explains the idea this way:
The number of records exposed has increased to a staggering 36 billion. There were 2,935 publicly reported breaches in the first three quarters of 2020, with the three months of Q3 adding an additional 8.3 billion records to what was already the “worst year on record,” Risk Based Security reveals.
Okay. How is this possible? The answer:
The report explores numerous factors such as how media coverage may be a factor contributing to the decline in publicly reported breaches. In addition, the increase of ransomware attacks may also have a part to play.
I interpreted this to mean, “Let’s not tell anyone.”
If you want a copy of this RiskBased Security report, navigate to this link. You will have to cough up an email and a name.
Net net: More data breaches and fewer organizations willing to talk about their security lapses. What about vendors of smart cyber security systems? Vendors are willing to talk about the value and performance of their products.
Talk, however, may be less difficult than dealing with security breaches.
Stephen E Arnold, October 30, 2020
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