Ten Trends in Search for 2010
November 27, 2009
Next week I am going to “debate” some European search wizards about the future of search. The venue? Incisive online show. Sure, I know these experts, but I am going to grab my pugnum and two semispathae and chop some logic with these computational killers. Gentlemen, prepare to be skewered.
How will I accomplish this feat? Easy. I am going to make a comment about these trends in search and content processing for 2010, a most auspicious number. In 2010, quite a few vendors are going to lose their precarious grip on survival and fall to their death. Splat.
Other points I will toss like a verutum are:
- XML repositories will deliver content services that * actually * work and provide more information access functions than traditional search engines
- Google will exert greater pressure on Microsoft. This pressure will disrupt a number of search and content processing companies, which will be collateral damage.
- Rich media will become a major content challenge to an ever growing number of organizations. These outfits have not figured out text and databases, so rich media will create more information stress. Say farewell to information technology managers who can’t cope.
- Organizations will become less tolerant of big name companies whose marketing collateral and contracts spell out one thing while their enterprise software delivers another. Can you read IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP in the interstices in these two sentences?
- Government regulation of information is going to become more oppressive. The problem is that government ability to make use of intercepts, email, and other content is going to decline. Government entities are struggling to keep email working and deal with the nasty internecine fights between those who want Google, those who live for Microsoft, and those who advocate for open source. Efficiency goes down; costs go up. The nanny state gets Alzheimer’s.
- Open source is not open. I know. I know. The community. Baloney. Commercial plays for open source work just like any money-centric outfit. That basic function is to get the client, keep competitors out, and lock the San Quentin cell block. Guards are on patrol.
Disagree? Agree? I am ready. Bring your iaculum. I am gunning for anyone named Trent or Whitney, anyone with an MBA, and anyone who thinks their view of 2010 is more informed than mine. Ave caesar! Morituri te salutamus. For the other trends? Attend the debate.
Stephen Arnold, November 27, 2009
Oyez, oyez, Department of the Navy. I was not paid to make these martial comments. Furthermore, I am a sissy. Put that in my file and stamp me, “Sensitive”.
Comments
One Response to “Ten Trends in Search for 2010”
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Having had six years of Latin and — gasp — an MBA, I comment with both joy and trepidation. Unfortunately, I won’t be at London Online to witness the battle, but I’d like to comment on the first point:
XML repositories will deliver content services that * actually * work and provide more information access functions than traditional search engines.
Since you say you’re tossing these points like a verutum (short javelin) I’m curious why you’re tossing this one. If it’s a prediction, then I’d toss it, too, because XML repositories *already are* underpinning content services that *actually* work and they most definitely provide more power than traditional text/keyword search engines.
Other than that beef, I don’t see what’s wrong with the claim. But perhaps I’m blinded by my Mark Logicianship.
Dave