London Online: The Missing Trends
December 6, 2009
The endnote at the International Online Conference succeeded in getting insightful comments from the panelists and eliciting probing questions from the audience. The downside was that the 90 minute session covered four of the 10 trends advertised in the program. The four trends discussed in the endnote were rising Google pressure, more use of XML, a surge in rich media for core information exchange, and more security safety nets with increased user surveillance likely.
In response to several emails from attendees, here are the missing six trends:
Trend 5: Libraries will be under increasing budget pressure. As a result, interest in lower-cost, cloud-based solutions will rise sharply in 2010. One consequence will more financial woes for library vendors, including commercial database producers.
Trend 6: More demands for timely data. Although not real-time indexing and content delivery, the newer services will strive to reduce latency (staleness) of information available to users in an organization.
Trend 7: Mobile search will become more important. The impact on the length of certain types of textual information will be significant. Those without fast network connections will be unable to access the rich media that will become a larger percentage of the information on offer.
Trend 8: Even if the economic climate improves in 2010, there will be increasing financial pressure on information, search, and content processing companies. Content management and enterprise search vendors will be particularly vulnerable. Neither CMS nor search can “explain” precisely their benefits so marketing, not technical excellence will mean the difference between survival and a buy out or extinction.
Trend 9: Open source will gain traction. Traditional vendors will have to deal with the financial and technical payoffs open source offers. In some organizations, open source will become an acceptable alternative to certain software systems. At the same time, open source vendors will monetize their services. Confusion and contention will increase.
Trend 10: Regulation will become more oppressive. In 2010, the Wild West of the Internet will be brought under the control of the authorities.
Have a trend to add? Use the comments feature of this Web log.
Stephen Arnold, December 6, 2009
Yep, I was paid to be at the Incisive show by Incisive. Nope, I was not paid to write my view of the trends in 2010. Deal with it.
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