Reverend Bayes Is Inevitable

January 14, 2016

I read “R Users Will Now Inevitably Become Bayesians.” Years ago a non mathy content management maven told me that Bayes’s methods were baloney. There is not much one can do to undo misspent youth and a lack of a technical background in things that require numbers in my experience.

The write up explains that wrestle with R will find themselves turning into adherents of Bayes’s methods, and I assume these R fans will end up looking like this:

image

The notion of inverse probability, according the write up,

Bayesian modeling is a general machine that can model any kind of regression you can think of….With the advent of brms and rstanarm, R users can now use extremely flexible functions from within the familiar and powerful R framework. Perhaps we won’t all become Bayesians now, but we now have significantly fewer excuses for not doing so. This is very exciting!

I feel a tingle, but I don’t think the CMS oriented, non mathy types will experience much of a quiver. Too bad.

Stephen E Arnold, January 14, 2016

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