Recorded Future and Predicting Investments

August 22, 2011

Recorded Future’s analytic trading signal now has the ability to allow customers to access data from the API in time to trade before the equity markets close. Their current blog post serves as a self-reporting report card.

In March 2011, Recorded Future announced their success in building a whole-market factor model that uses media analytic data to predict excess returns.

Since then, the firm has allowed others to benefit from this service. The company asserts the following in their August 9, 2011 post:

Taking the same strategy we presented earlier, and using the live data as it was available to our customers at 3:30, we have rolled our backtest forward, and looked at the performance of this strategy over the last few tumultuous months. Between May 13, and August 5, this strategy returned 10.4%, while the market lost 9.9% of its value.

Hakia has pushed into similar territory. No one knows how many investment firms are using similar technology to maximize their returns.

Megan Feil, August 22, 2011

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