Data Deluge Extends to Wireless. No Kidding?
February 6, 2011
CNET News brought to our attention that, “Cisco Sees 26-fold Wireless Data Increase in 5 Years.” Not much of a surprise, but we enjoy prognostications from companies that sell gear to manage high volumes of digital traffic. Wireless carriers are already gaining more capacity with radio and back-haul networks. The big increase is due to mobile data traffic, especially iPhones and Android phones. Users and commercial enterprises are working like beavers to shift from tethered access to the 21st century’s equivalent of a digital Woodstock. The write up suggested:
“This is why the Federal Communications Commission is working to get an additional 500MHz of wireless on the market in the next decade with a plan for 300MHz spectrum to be freed up in the next five years. But adding more spectrum takes time and it will not be enough to solve the capacity crunch that wireless operators will likely face in the next few years.”
Networks will need to learn how to operate more efficiently. Business models, such as unlimited data plans, will probably disappear. Another problem will be tablet PCs, because they need more capacity than a phone. Cisco is now prognosticating with the best of the mid tier consulting firms. One hopes the methodology is better than “let’s guess.”
Whitney Grace, February 6, 2011
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