The Google Will Means We Are Not Lagging Behind ChatGPT: The Coding Angle
April 20, 2023
Note: This essay is the work of a real and still-alive dinobaby. No smart software involved, just a dumb humanoid.
I read another easily-spotted Google smart software PR imitative. Google’s professionals apparently ignore the insights of the luminary Jason Calacanis. In his “The Rise of AutoGPT and AO Anxieties” available absolutely anywhere the energetic Mr. Calacanis can post the content, a glimpse of the Google anxiety is explained. One of Mr. Calacanis’ BFFs points out that companies with good AI use the AI to make more and better AI. The result is that those who plan, anticipate, and promise great AI products and services cannot catch up to those who are using AI to super-charge their engineers. (I refuse to use the phrase 10X engineer because it is little more than a way to say, “Smart engineers are now becoming 5X or 10X engineers.” The idea is that “wills” and “soon” are flashing messages that say, “We are now behind. We will never catch up.”
I thought about the Thursday, April 13, 2023, extravaganza when I read “DeepMind Says Its New AI Coding Engine Is As Good As an Average Human Programmer.” The entire write up is one propeller driven Piper Cub skywriting messages about the future. I quote:
DeepMind has created an AI system named AlphaCode that it says “writes computer programs at a competitive level.” The Alphabet subsidiary tested its system against coding challenges used in human competitions and found that its program achieved an “estimated rank” placing it within the top 54 percent of human coders. The result is a significant step forward for autonomous coding, says DeepMind, though AlphaCode’s skills are not necessarily representative of the sort of programming tasks faced by the average coder.
Mr. Calacanis and his BFFs were not talking about basic coding as the future. Their focus was on autonomous AI which can string together sequences of tasks. The angle in my lingo is “meta AI”; that is, instead of a single smart query answered by a single smart system, the instructions in natural language would be parsed by a meta-AI which would pull back separate responses, integrate them, and perform the desired task.
What’s Google’s PR team pushing? Competitive programming.
Code Red? Yeah, that’s the here and now. The reality is that Google is in “will” mode. Imagine for a moment that Mr. Calacanis and his BFFs are correct. What’s that mean for Google? Will Google catch up with “will”?
Stephen E Arnold, April 20, 2023
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