FOGINT: Hong Kong: A Significant Crypto Wiggle
November 5, 2024
Hong Kong is taking steps to secure its place in today’s high-tech landscape. Blockonomi reports, “Hong Kong’s Bold Move to Become Asia’s Crypto Capital.” Tax breaks, regulations, and a shiny new virtual asset index underpin the effort. Meanwhile, the Virtual Asset Trading Platform regime launched last year is chugging right along. We suspect Telegram is likely to be the utility for messaging, sales, and marketing.
Writer Oliver Dale tells us:
“The Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) announced the launch of a Virtual Asset Index Series, scheduled for November 15, 2024. This new index will provide benchmark pricing for Bitcoin and Ether specifically tailored to Asia-Pacific time zones. The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is working to finalize a list of crypto exchanges that will receive full licenses by year-end. Eric Yip, executive director for intermediaries at the SFC, revealed plans to establish a consultation panel by early 2025 to maintain oversight of licensed exchanges. The regulatory framework extends beyond trading platforms. Hong Kong authorities are developing comprehensive guidelines for crypto-focused over-the-counter trading desks and custodians, with implementation expected in the coming year. For stablecoin issuers, new requirements are being introduced. Foreign fiat-referenced stablecoin providers will need to establish physical operations in Hong Kong and maintain reserves in local banks.”
Establishing a physical presence in the city is no small thing. Though Hong Kong is a culturally rich and vibrant city, we hear real estate is at a premium. That is ok, we are sure stablecoin geniuses can afford it.
Hong Kong is also working to bring AI tools to the financial sector, but there it is caught between a rock and a hard place. Though a part of China, the dense and wealthy city operates under a unique “one country, two systems” governance framework. As a result, it has limited access to both western AI platforms, like Chat GPT and Gemini, and services from Chinese firms like Baidu and ByteDance. To bridge the gap, local institutions like The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology are building their own solutions. Officials hope tax incentives will attract professional investment firms to the city.
The stablecoin policies should go into effect by the end of this year, while custodian regulations and consultation on over-the-counter trading are to be established some time in 2025.
Cynthia Murrell, November 5, 2024
FOGINT: ANKR and TON Hook Up
October 30, 2024
A humanoid wrote this essay. I tried to get MSFT Copilot to work, but it remains dead. That makes four days with weird messages about a glitch. That’s the standard: Good enough.
The buzzwords “DePIN” and “SNAS” may not be familiar to some cyber investigators. The first refers to an innovation which ANKR embraces. A DePIN is a decentralized physical infrastructure or a network of nodes. The nodes can be geographically distributed. Instead of residing on a physical server, virtualization makes the statement “We don’t know what’s on the hardware a customer licenses and configures.” There is no there there becomes more than a quip about Oakland, California. The SNAS is a consequence of DePIN-type architecture. The SNAS is a super network as a service. A customer can rent big bang systems and leave the hands on work to the ANKR team.
Why am I mentioning a start up operating in Romania?
The answer is that ANKR has cut a deal with The One Network Foundation. This entity was created after Telegram had its crypto plans derailed by the US Securities & Exchange Commission several years ago. The TONcoin is now “open” and part of the “open” One Network Foundation entity. TON, as of October 24, 2024, is directly accessible through ANKR’s Web3 API (application programming interface).
Telegram organization allows TONcoin to “run” on the Telegram blockchain via the Open Network Foundation based in Zug, Switzerland. The plumbing is Telegram; the public face of the company is the Zug outfit. With Mr. Durov’s remarkable willingness to modify how the company responds to law enforcement, there is pressure on the Telegram leadership to make TONcoin the revenue winner.
ANKR is an important tie up. It may be worth watching.
Stephen E Arnold, October 30, 2024
FOGINT: FBI Nabs Alleged Crypto Swindlers
October 23, 2024
Nowhere does the phrase “buyer beware” apply more than the cryptocurrency market. But the FBI is on it. Crypto Briefing reports, “FBI Creates Crypto Token to Catch Fraudsters in Historic Market Manipulation Case.” The agency used its “NexFundAI” token to nab 18 entities—some individuals and also four major crypto firms: Gotbit, ZM Quant, CLS Global, and MyTrade. The mission was named “Operation Token Mirrors.” Snazzy. Writer Estefano Gomez explains:
“The charges stem from widespread fraud involving market manipulation and ‘wash trading’ designed to deceive investors and inflate crypto values. Working covertly, the FBI launched the token to attract the indicted firms’ services, which allegedly specialized in inflating trading volumes and prices for profit. The charges cover a broad scheme of wash trading, where defendants artificially inflated the value of more than 60 tokens, including the Saitama Token, which at its peak reached a market capitalization of $7.5 billion. The conspirators are alleged to have made false claims about the tokens and used deceptive tactics to mislead investors. After artificially pumping up the token prices, they would cash out at these inflated values, defrauding investors in a classic ‘pump and dump’ scheme. The crypto companies also allegedly hired market makers like ZM Quant and Gotbit to carry out these wash trades. These firms would execute sham trades using multiple wallets, concealing the true nature of the activity while creating fake trading volume to make the tokens seem more appealing to investors.”
If convicted, defendants could face up to two decades in prison. Several of those charged have already pled guilty. Authorities also shut down several trading bots used for wash trades and seized over $25 million in cryptocurrency. Assistant US Attorney Joshua Levy stresses that wash trading, long since illegal in traditional financial markets, is now also illegal in the crypto industry.
Cynthia Murrell, October 23, 2024
Flappy Bird Flutters to Life Thanks to the Power of the New Idol, Crypto
October 15, 2024
Just a humanoid processing information related to online services and information access.
Flappy Bird is coming out of retirement after a decade away. Launched in 2013, the original game was wildly popular and lucrative. However, less than a year later, its creator pulled it from app stores for being unintentionally addictive. Subsequently, players/addicts were willing to pay hundreds or thousands of dollars for devices that still had the game installed. Now it has reemerged as a Telegram crypto game. Much better. Decrypt reports, “What Is ‘Flappy Bird’ on Telegram? Iconic Game Returns with Crypto Twist.” Writer Ryan S. Gladwin tells us the game is basically the same as before, with a few additions just for crypto bros:
“Developed by the Flappy Bird Foundation, the Telegram game mixes in elements from other crypto games on the app, including the likes of Hamster Kombat, by allowing players to passively earn in-game points by obtaining upgrades. These are earned through a variety of ways, including watching ads and inviting friends.”
Naturally, a custom Flappy Bird token will be introduced. And, as with most of this year’s “tap-to-earn” games, it will reside on Telegram’s decentralized network, simply named The Open Network (TON). We learn:
"Yes, there will be a FLAP token launched in relation with the Telegram version of Flappy Bird. This has been confirmed in tweets from the official game account on Twitter (aka X), and the game will also offer staking rewards for the future token. Previously, The Flappy Bird Foundation said that it has plans to integrate The Open Network (TON)—the network that most tap-to-earn games launch tokens on. Notcoin, the tap-to-earn game that started the Telegram craze with the largest crypto gaming token launch of the year, is the ‘strategic publishing partner’ for Flappy Bird’s return. This partnership is set to help introduce The Open Network (TON) ecosystem to Flappy Bird with the game starting a ‘free mining event’ at launch called ‘Flap-a-TON.’ A mining event is usually a period of time in which players can make gameplay progress to get a cut of a future token airdrop.”
What a cutting-edge way to maximize engagement. If he was so upset about his game’s addictive qualities, why did creator Dong Nguyen sell it to an outfit that meant to crypto-tize it? In fact, he did not. After the game languished for four years, the trademark was deemed abandoned. A firm called Mobile Media Partners Inc. snapped up the languishing trademark and later sold it to one Gametech Holdings LLC, from whom the Flappy Bird Foundation bought it earlier this year. That must have been quite a surprise to the conscientious developer. Not only were Nguyen’s wishes for his game completely disregarded, he is receiving no compensation from the game’s reemergence. Classy.
Cynthia Murrell, October 15, 2024
FOGINT: UN Says Telegram Is a Dicey Outfit
October 14, 2024
The only smart software involved in producing this short FOGINT post was Microsoft Copilot’s estimable art generation tool. Why? It is offered at no cost.
One of my colleagues forwarded a dump truck of links to articles about a UN Report. Before commenting on the report, I want to provide a snapshot of the crappy Web search tools and the useless “search” function on the UN Web site.
First, the title of the October 2024 report is:
Transnational Organized Crime and the Convergence of Cyber-Enabled Fraud, Underground Banking and Technological Innovation in Southeast Asia: A Shifting Threat Landscape
I want to point out that providing a full title in an online article is helpful to some dinobabies like me.
Second, including an explicit link to a document is also appreciated by some people, most of whom are over 25 years in age, of above average intelligence, and interested in online crime. With that in mind, here is the explicit link to the document:
https://www.unodc.org/roseap/uploads/documents/Publications/2024/TOC_Convergence_Report_2024.pdf
Now let’s look briefly at what the 142 page report says:
Telegram is a dicey outfit.
Not bad: 142 pages compressed to five words. Let look at two specifics and then I encourage you to read the full report and draw your own conclusions about the quite clever outfit Telegram.
The first passage which caught my attention was this one which is a list of the specialized software and services firms paying attention to Telegram. Here is that list. It is important because most of these outfits make their presence known to enforcement and intelligence entities, not the TikTok-type crowd:
Bitrace
Chainalysis
Chainargos
Chainvestigate
ChongLuaDao (Viet Nam)
Coeus
Crystal Intelligence
CyberArmor
Flare Systems
Flashpoint
Group-IB
Hensoldt Analytics
Intel 471
Kela
Magnet Forensics
Resecurity
Sophos
SlowMist
Trend Micro
TRM Labs
Other firms played ball with the UN, but these companies may have suggested, “Don’t tell anyone we assisted.” That’s my view; yours may differ.
The second interesting passage in the document for me was:
Southeast Asia faces unprecedented challenges posed by transnational organized crime and illicit economies. The region is witnessing a major convergence of different crime types and criminal services fueled by rapid and shifting advancements in physical, technological, and digital infrastructure have have allowed organized crime networks to expand these operations.
Cyber crime is the hot ticket in southeast Asia. I would suggest that the Russian oligarchs are likely to get a run for their money if these well-groomed financial wizards try to muscle in on what is a delightful mix of time Triads, sleek MBAs, and testosterone fueled crypto kiddies with motos, weapons and programming expertise. The mix of languages, laws, rules, and special purpose trade zones add some zest to the run-of-the-mill brushing activities. I will not suggest that many individuals who visit or live in Southeast Asia have a betting gene, but the idea is one worthy of Stuart Kauffman and his colleagues at the Santa Fe Institute. Gambling emerges from chaos and good old greed.
A third passage which I circled addressed Telegram. By the way, “Telegram” appears more than 100 times in the document. Here’s the snippet:
Providing further indication of criminal activity, Kokang casinos and associated companies have developed a robust presence across so-called ‘grey and black business’ Telegram channels facilitating cross-border ‘blockchain’ gambling, underground banking, money laundering, and related recruitment in Myanmar, Cambodia, China, and several other countries in East and Southeast Asia.
The key point to me is that this is a workflow process with a system and method spanning countries. The obvious problem is, “Whom does law enforcement arrest?” Another issue, “Where is the Telegram server?” The answer to the first question is, “In France.” The second question is more tricky and an issue that the report does not address. This is a problematic omission. The answer to the “Where is the Telegram server?” is, “In lots of places.” Telegram is into dApps or distributed applications. The servers outside of Moscow and St Petersburg are virtual. The providers or enablers of Telegram probably don’t know Telegram is a customer and have zero clue what’s going on in virtual machines running Telegram’s beefy infrastructure.
The report is worth reading. If you are curious about Telegram’s plumbing, please, write benkent2020 at yahoo dot com. The FOGINT team has a lecture about the components of the Telegram architecture as well as some related information about the company’s most recent social plays.
Stephen E Arnold, October 14, 2024
Cyber Criminals Rejoice: Quick Fraud Development Kit Announced
October 11, 2024
I am not sure the well-organized and managed OpenAI intended to make cyber criminals excited about their future prospects. Several Twitter enthusiasts pointed out that OpenAI makes it possible to develop an app in 30 seconds. Prashant posted:
App development is gonna change forever after today. OpenAI can build an iPhone app in 30 seconds with a single prompt. [emphasis added]
The expert demonstrating this programming capability was Romain Huet. The announcement of the capability débuted at OpenAI’s Dev Day.
A clueless dinobaby is not sure what this group of youngsters is talking about. An app? Pictures of a slumber party? Thanks, MSFT Copilot, good enough.
What’s a single prompt mean? That’s not clear to me at the moment. Time is required to assemble the prompt, run it, check the outputs, and then fiddle with the prompt. Once the prompt is in hand, then it is easy to pop it into o1 and marvel at the 30 second output. Instead of coding, one prompts. Zip up that text file and sell it on Telegram. Make big bucks or little STARS and TONcoins. With some cartwheels, it is sort of money.
Is this quicker that other methods of cooking up an app; for example, some folks can do some snappy app development with Telegram’s BotFather service?
Let’s step back from the 30-second PR event.
Several observations are warranted.
First, programming certain types of software is becoming easier using smart software. That means that a bad actor may be able to craft a phishing play more quickly.
Second, specialized skills embedded in smart software open the door to scam automation. Scripts can generate other needed features of a scam. What once was a simple automated bogus email becomes an orchestrated series of actions.
Third, the increasing cross-model integration suggests that a bad actor will be able to add a video or audio delivering a personalized message. With some fiddling, a scam can use a phone call to a target and follow that up with an email. To cap off the scam, a machine-generated Zoom-type video call makes a case for the desired action.
The key point is that legitimate companies may want to have people they manage create a software application. However, is it possible that smart software vendors are injecting steroids into a market given little thought by most people? What is that market? I am thinking that bad actors are often among the earlier adopters of new, low cost, open source, powerful digital tools.
I like the gee whiz factor of the OpenAI announcement. But my enthusiasm is a fraction of that experienced by bad actors. Sometimes restraint and judgment may be more helpful than “wow, look at what we have created” show-and-tell presentations. Remember. I am a dinobaby and hopelessly out of step with modern notions of appropriateness. I like it that way.
Stephen E Arnold, October 11, 2024
FOGINT: Internet Service Providers in the Hot Box
October 9, 2024
The only smart software involved in producing this short FOGINT post was Microsoft Copilot’s estimable art generation tool. Why? It is offered at no cost.
For several years, I have used the term “ghost providers” to describe online service providers as enablers of online crime. The advent of virtual machines and virtual servers operated by customers who just pay a monthly fee and do everything themselves provides a great foggy ground cover. If an investigators speaks with one of these providers, the response includes variations of “We don’t know” and “No clue, bro.” The reason is that the service provider provides access to a system, includes no support, and leaves it up to the person paying the bill to be the cook, bottlewasher, and janitor. These outfits are in the service business with a range of offerings: Full service to DIY.
“Oh, we cannot see what is on the virtual machines working as virtual servers,” says the bright ISP operator. Thanks, MSFT Copilot. That’s pretty lousy fog if I say so myself.
Italy wants to take action to prevent enablers who provide ghost services with bare metal and zero service other than pings, plumbing, and power. “ISPs ‘Betrayed’ Over Pirate Site-Blocking Threats, The Reckoning Will Be Invisible” reports that Italy’s
advanced legal weaponry is incapable of dealing with distant pirate IPTV services. Instead, it mainly targets communications infrastructure, much of it operated by rightsholders’ supposed allies – ISPs – who were given no say in the matter.
Torrent Freak’s view of the law is somewhat reserved, even skeptical. The cited article continues:
if pirate sites share an IP address with entirely innocent sites, and the innocent sites are outnumbered, ISPs, VPNs and DNS services will be legally required to block them all. Since nobody ever passes bad law and good laws hurt no one, blocking innocent sites can be conducted guilt-free from the moral high ground.
Among those with a strong view of the law is Giovanni Zorzoni, president of the Italian Internet Provider Association. No big surprise, FOGINT surmises. The article quotes him as saying:
“Irresponsible initiative that, in the sole interest of the football lobby, tramples on operators, [AGCOM] and the Internet ecosystem,” he said. “Thanks to the new law, they will be able to block sites that are no longer exclusively, but also ‘mainly’ used to distribute illegal content, substantially widening the scope of [rightsholders’] discretion. It may therefore happen, much more frequently, that even legitimate addresses that are only accidentally used for the transmission of pirated content are blocked,” Zorzoni added.
Google offered some input which Torrent Freak presented; to wit:
Diego Ciulli, Head of Government Affairs and Public Policy at Google in Italy, expressed concern over the likely effect on the justice system in Italy should Google be required to comply. Under the label of “fighting piracy”, Ciulli said that digital platforms will be required to notify the judicial authorities of ALL copyright infringements – present, past and future – when they become aware of them. That could be a problem. “Do you know how many there are in the case of Google? At the moment, 9,756,931,770. In short, the Senate is asking us to flood the judicial authorities with almost 10 billion URLs – and provides for prison if we miss a single notification. If the law is not amended, the risk is to do the opposite of the spirit of the law: clog up the judicial authorities, and take resources away from the fight against piracy,” he warned.
Yep, imagine if ISPs had to block packets containing information directly linked to illegal activities. That is, it seems, to be a lot of work for the ISPs to do.
Several observations:
- Some service providers are known for their willingness to facilitate content which breaks laws
- The “virtualization” of “services” provides a 24×7 disco dance fog machine to hide certain activities from staff, other customers, and government authorities
- The money derived from the customers who exploit the willful obfuscation makes the service provider business tick.
Is the Italian law a remedy? No. Will other countries crank up regulation of ISPs? Yes. But after decades of a digital Wild West, fences will not be erected overnight. As a result, the black sheep will roam among wild ponies and make a range of online crimes possible and lucrative. That’s quite a marketing position for some firms.
Stephen E Arnold, October 9, 2024
FOGINT: A Doggie Telegram Play in the Mists of Crypto
October 8, 2024
The FOGINT team has noticed an uptick about the Simplex messenger. You can download the end to end encrypted application from this link. According to chatter on interesting discussion services, individuals espousing certain beliefs are abandoning Telegram because Mr. Freedom (Pavel Durov is allegedly cooperating with law enforcement and other government officials in certain investigation). The causal link between Simplex and Telegram’s new, flexible approach to allegedly illegal activities may be clear to some people. That’s fine.
Some people will not be aware that the sheep are ignoring a government worker wearing a rather poor sheep disguise. Thanks, MSFT Copilot. How are those Windows updates going? Oh, how about those security changes?
However, Telegram continues to push into territory far more significant than fooling around with the craziness of those who use Telegram to organize traffic jams and sell contraband. The big fish is now on the dock. The fish mongers are crowding around to find out the value of the snatch.
“The First Telegram ICO Is Here: Dogizen, Launches Today” reveals what may be a more significant move in the underground financial ecosystem. The FOGINT teams thinks that Telegram is doing its part to undermine the US dollar, not make weird animal games available to people who want free money. The article reported on October 4, 2024:
This is the first ICO to offer investors the chance to purchase the DOGIZ token directly from within Telegram itself and could open up a whole new slice of the crypto community. DOGIZ will go on sale at $0.00007, with a total of one hundred billion presale tokens available for purchase. Dogizen finds itself in the midst of Telegram gaming’s surge, which has recently gained attention with multiple successful launches, collectively amassing a market cap nearing $2 billion in just six months.
Telegram ran into a brick wall several years ago when the US Securities & Exchange Commission blocked the messaging company’s initial foray into crypto. Now the Telegram plan is coming into focus. There are STARs, TONcoins, and deals with outfits like Tether. This play with doggies is a transactional platform applied to providing for a fee the plumbing necessary to ramp crypto with essentially zero friction. The estimable Durov brothers are demonstrating that there is more to a messaging application than groups, channels, advertising, and faux compliance with government officials.
The Durovs are doggies who want to grow up to be wolves.
Stephen E Arnold, October 8, 2024
FOGINT: Ukraine Government Telegram Restrictions
October 7, 2024
The only smart software involved in producing this short FOGINT post was Microsoft Copilot’s estimable art generation tool. Why? It is offered at no cost.
“Ukrainian Parliament to Restrict Telegram Usage” reports that Telegram faces new restrictions due to security concerns. The news story says:
The Verkhovna Rada (the Ukrainian parliament) will introduce restrictions on the use of the Telegram messenger app for official purposes.
Mr. Durov’s willingness to cooperate with government requests for user information is not the primary reason for this set of restrictions on Ukrainian government staff use of Telegram. The write up points out:
These measures are justified by past incidents where third parties gained access to government employees’ data through Telegram or created fake accounts
What are the measures used by Ukrainian officials to discourage the use of Telegram? Among those in use are:
- No contact synchronization
- No official information transmitted on a Telegram channel
- No Telegram app on work computers, government-provided mobile phones, or personal devices used for government communication
- “Technical blocks” will be implemented to prevent Telegram usage.
Will these measures work? The answer, “To some degree.” However, the increase in interest in alternatives has created a mini-boom for the Simple X end-to-end encrypted application. Certain ultra leaning groups are moving to other secure messaging systems.
A person who looks a bit like Pavel Durov demonstrates his patented exercise: A sudden twist and back flip from a cell in a French prison. Thanks, MSFT Copilot, good enough like some many things in 2024.
The problem, however, is that Telegram has more than 900 million users and offers a number of user-centric features not available in other E2EE applications; for example, Telegram does not charge for data storage or bandwidth. The fix is to acquire a burner phone or use specialized services.
The interesting facet of this move is that it comes after Telegram’s decision to block certain Ukrainian produced content from distribution to Telegram users in Russia. Prior to Telegram’s surprising action Ukrainian government officials disseminated text content to Russians who were members of Ukrainian Telegram channels.
That action made clear that Telegram was demonstrating its flexibility. Pavel Durov then did a cirque de soleil vault with his fancy move to cooperate with legitimate requests for information from unnamed government authorities.
FOGINT thinks Mr. Durov is confident he stuck his landing for this trick and scored a 10. FOGINT scored Mr. Durov an imaginary number.
Stephen E Arnold, October 7, 2024
Russian Crypto Operation: An Endgame
October 3, 2024
This essay is the work of a dumb dinobaby. No smart software required.
The US Department of the Treasury took action to terminate “PM2BTC—a Russian virtual currency exchanger associated with Russian individual Sergey Sergeevich Ivanov (Ivanov)—as being of “primary money laundering concern” in connection with Russian illicit finance.” The DOT’s news release about the multi-national action is located at this link. Fogint has compiled a list of details about this action.
The write up says:
Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury is undertaking actions as part of a coordinated international effort to disrupt Russian cybercrime services. Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) is issuing an order that identifies PM2BTC—a Russian virtual currency exchanger associated with Russian individual Sergey Sergeevich Ivanov (Ivanov)—as being of “primary money laundering concern” in connection with Russian illicit finance. Concurrently, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is sanctioning Ivanov and Cryptex—a virtual currency exchange registered in St. Vincent and the Grenadines and operating in Russia. The FinCEN and OFAC actions are being issued in conjunction with actions by other U.S. government agencies and international law enforcement partners to hold accountable Ivanov and the associated virtual currency services.
Here’s a selection of the items which may be of interest to cyber crime analysts and those who follow crypto activity.
- Two individuals were added to the sanctions list: Sergey Ivanov and Timur Shakhmametov. A reward or bounty has been offered for information leading to the arrest of these individuals. The payment could exceed US$9 million
- The PM2BTC and Cryptex entities has worked or been associated with other crypto entities; possibly Guarantex, UAPS, Cryptex, Hydra, FerumShop, Bitzlato, and an underground payment processing service known as Bitzlato
- Among the entities working on this operation (Endgame) were Europol, Germany, Great Britain, Latvia, Netherlands, and the US
- In 2014, the two persons of interest want to set up an automated (smart) service and may have been working with PerfectMoney and Paymer
- The activities of Messrs. Ivanov and Shakhmametov involved “carding” and other bank-related fraud
Russian regulations provide wiggle room for certain types of financial activity not permitted in the US and countries associated with this take down.
Several observations:
- The operation was large, possibly exceeding billions in illegal transactions
- The network of partners and affiliated firms illustrates the appeal of illegal crypto services
- One method of communication used by PM2BTC was Telegram Messenger.
- “The $9 Million US reward / bounty for those two Russian crypto exchange operators wanted by US DOJ is a game changer due to the enormous reward,” Sean Brizendine, blockchain researcher told the FOGINT team.
Additional information may become available as the case moves forward in the US and Europe. FOGINT will monitor public information which appears in Russia and other countries.
Stephen E Arnold, October 3, 2024