Is Waymo a Proxy for Alphabet Google in China?
January 4, 2022
Remember 2006. Google launched its China search engine. In 2010, Google caught a flight back to SFO. The issues revolved around control, and the Google was not about to be controlled by a mere nation state. The Google was the new big thing. For some color on this remarkable example of techno hubris, check out How Google Took on China and Lost.” (Note: You may have to pay to read this okay write up from the outfit which found the humanist Jeffrey Epstein A-OK.)
Flash forward to “Future Autonomous Waymo EV Will Be Custom Built for Ride-Hailing with No Steering Wheel.” Tucked into this write up is an item of information I find quite suggestive about China, the Google, and the adage “time heals all wounds.” Well, that’s the adage’s point of view.
The write up’s interesting item is expressed this way:
Waymo today announced an OEM collaboration with Geely, a Chinese automotive company that has several subsidiary brands like Volvo, Lotus, and Smart.
Presumably both the Chinese government sensitive Geely and the money sensitive Google are going to go on these outfits’ version of a Match.com date.
And the misunderstanding of 2006 and Dragonfly, the aborted Chinese centric search engine project (allegedly just a distant memory), is just a another Google project without wood behind it.
What online service will provide maps to the nifty new auto? Who will have access to the data the helpful vehicles will generate? What is one of these slick vehicles routes toward a facility in the US which is covertly owned by a China-affiliated entity or picks up one of those Harvard type academics who is on China’s payroll?
So many questions with what may be obvious answers.
Stephen E Arnold, January 4, 2022
Google: Who Us? Oh, We Are Sorry
January 4, 2022
One sign of a decent human being is when they admit their mistakes and accept their responsibilities. When people accept their mistakes, the situation blows over quicker. Google leaders, however, are reluctant to accept the consequences of their poor actions and it is not generating good PR. The lo shares the story in: “Google CEO Blames Employee Leaks To The Press For Reduced ‘Trust and Candor’ At The Company.”
During a recent end-of-the year meeting, Google employees could submit questions via the internal company system Dory. They then can vote on the questions they wish management to answer. The following questioned received 673 votes:
“The question was: ‘It seems like responses to Dory have gotten increasingly more lawyer-like with canned phrases or platitudes, which seem to ignore the questions being ask [sic]. Are we planning on bringing candor, honesty, humility and frankness back to Dory answers or continuing down a bureaucratic path?’”
Google CEO Sundar Pichai was exasperated and he blamed employees leaking information to the media for the inflated, artificial answers. He said the following:
“‘Sometimes, I do think that people are unforgiving for small mistakes. I do think people realize that answers can be quoted anywhere, including outside the company. I think that makes people very careful,’ he said. ‘Trust and candor has to go both ways,’ Pichai added.”
Pichai also explained that the poor relationship between employees and the top brass is a direct result of Google’s large size and the pandemic. Google employees were upset with their leaders prior the the COVID-19 pandemic. They stated they were frustrated with how Google handled sexual harassment complaints, lack of diversity issues, and sexism. Google employees formed their first union in January 2020.
Pichai would do better to admit Google has problems and actively work on fixing them. It would make him and the company appear positive in the media, not to mention better relationships with his employees.
Whitney Grace, January 4, 2022
How about That Smart Software?
January 3, 2022
In the short cut world of training smart software, minor glitches are to be expected. When an OCR program delivers 95 percent accuracy, that works out to five mistakes in every 100 words. When Alexa tells a child to put a metal object into a home electrical outlet, what do you expert? This is close enough for horse shoes.
Now what about the Google Maps of today, a maps solution which I find almost unusable. “Google Maps May Have Led Tahoe Travelers Astray During Snowstorm” quoted a Tweet from a person who is obviously unaware of the role probabilities play in the magical world of Google. Here’s the Tweet:
This is an abject failure. You are sending people up a poorly maintained forest road to their death in a severe blizzard. Hire people who can address winter storms in your code (or maybe get some of your engineers who are stuck in Tahoe right now on it).
Big deal? Of course not, Amazon and Google are focused on the efficiencies of machine-centric methods for identifying relevant, on point information. The probability is that most of the Amazon and Google outputs will be on the money. Google Maps rarely misses on pizza or the location of March Madness basketball games.
Severely injured children? Well, that probably won’t happen. Individuals lost in a snow storm? Well, that probably won’t happen.
The flaw in these giant firms’ methods are correct from these companies’ point of view in the majority of cases. A terminated humanoid or a driver wondering if a friendly forest ranger will come along the logging road? Not a big deal.
What happens when these smart systems output decisions which have ever larger consequences? Autonomous weapons, anyone?
Stephen E Arnold, January 3, 2021
Russia Says Happy Holidays to Google
December 24, 2021
I think I have figured this out. Each month the Russia legal system fines Google some money. Think of this as a tax levied on being allowed to operate in a country not fond of certain Ukrainian officials. Come to think of it. Russia does not exactly love the Google. The first hint was the go nowhere deal for Sergey Brin to fly into space, a goal that has remained out of reach. A failure for a ride must have been as painful as the failure of the Google Glass thing.
“Russian Court Fines Google Nearly $100M Over Content” delivers the holiday news to the well managed outfit in Mountain View. What was Google’s transgression? (I know it is difficult to pick from the cornucopia of alleged missteps.) Here’s what the write up reports:
A Moscow court has fined Google nearly $100 million over its failure to delete content banned by local law.
Will Google pay? Sure, eventually.
I am interested to see what “fine” emerges in January. Won’t Russia enforcement officials pull Googzilla’s tail to collect another financial output? Apple has made clear that US companies will cut deals to do business in certain nation states. Russia’s approach is more direct: Find the Google guilty. Collect money.
Perhaps Mr. Putin will propose a more predictable approach? Is an Apply type of deal on the to do list for 2022?
What a nice way for the Russian bear to wish GOOG “Happy Holidays”!
Stephen E Arnold, December 24, 2021
Mother Google Wants Tidy Cubbies
December 24, 2021
Google is going to save us from our disorganized selves, whether we like it or not. TechRadar reports, “Google Drive Update Will Force You to Clean Up Your Mess of Files and Folders.” It is for our own good, really. To force users into tidying up, Drive will automatically migrate multi-location files to shortcuts, a system launched in August of last year. With the pandemic-prompted shift in remote work, use of cloud-based systems like Drive had suddenly boomed. Writer Joel Khalili tells us:
“This [shift] caused an influx in the number of documents, spreadsheets, presentations and other assets hosted in Google Drive, creating various file management and navigation issues. With the upcoming update, Google will hope to impose some measure of order on the chaos, which is only exacerbated by the opportunity for files to exist in multiple locations. According to the blog post, administrators will be notified via email a number of weeks before the migration to shortcuts takes place. Before the process begins, admins will be able to specify whether shortcuts are introduced in all possible scenarios, or only for content shared within the company’s own domain. Google Workspace users, meanwhile, will be served a banner warning of the changes, but will be required to take no further action. All existing file permissions will be preserved after the migration takes place, says Google.”
We suppose that is one way for Google to save on data storage costs. If the company can position it as a boon for users, all the better. Will it also seek a way to make us eat our vegetables? Will mom root through the data in order to make a definitive parental decision? What if some data are in violation of the Google’s terms of service? What’s the punishment? Google jail, a fine, a trial? We don’t know.
Cynthia Murrell, December 24, 2021
Verizon and Google Are Love Birds? Their Call Is 5G 5G 5G
December 22, 2021
The folks involved with electronic equipment for air planes are expressing some concerns about 5G. Why? Potential issues related to interference. See the FAA and others care about passengers and air freight. Now Verizon and Google care about each other and are moving forward with more 5G goodness. (Please, turn off those 5G mobiles.)
Verizon is regarded as the top mobile provider in the United States. Verizon earns that title, because the company is always innovating. Tech Radar has the story on one of Verizon’s newest innovations: “Verizon Partners With Google Cloud On 5G Edge.” Google Cloud and Verizon will pool their resources to offer 5G mobile edge with guaranteed performance for enterprise customers.
Verizon is promising its 5G networks will have lower latency with faster speeds, reliable connections, and greater capacity. The mobile provider will deliver on its 5G and lower latency promise by decentralizing infrastructures and virtualizing networks, so they are closer to customers. Edge computing means data is processed closer to its collection point. This will enable more advanced technology to take root: smart city applications, telemedicine, and virtual reality.
Google Cloud’s storage and compute capabilities are what Verizon needs to deliver 5G:
“The partnership will initially combine Verizon’s private on-site 5G and its private 5G edge services with Google Distributed Cloud Edge, but the two companies have said they plan to develop capabilities for public networks that will allow enterprises to deploy applications across the US.”
Verizon’s new Google partnership makes it the first mobile provider to offer edge services with Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure.
The advancement of 5G will transform developed countries into automated science-fiction dreams. Verizon 5G edge sounds like it requires the use of more user data in order for it to be processed closer to the collection point. Is this why Verizon has been capturing more of late? Will 5G networks require more private user data to function?
One of my colleagues at Beyond Search had the silly idea that the Verizon Google discussions contributed to Verizon’s keen interest in capturing more customer data. Will the cooing of 5G 5G 5G soothe those worried about having a 757 visit the apartments adjacent O’Hare Airport? Of course not. Verizon and Google are incapable of making technical missteps.
Whitney Grace, December 22, 2021
Who Blinked? Googzilla or Dopey
December 20, 2021
I read “YouTube TV Drops Disney Owned Channels Including ESPN, Disney Channel, & ABC.” The Google, fresh from its negotiations with the super giant Roku, faced a more formidable negotiating team representing Disney capture team of Goofy and friends. Rumors that Darth Vader and Spiderman would participate in the discussions proved false. Dopey was not moved by Alphabet’s spelling out the realities of working with the online advertising behemoth. The write up reports one of Dopey’s assistants as saying:
We’ve been in ongoing negotiations with Google’s YouTube TV and unfortunately, they have declined to reach a fair deal with us based on market terms and conditions.
The online advertising giant’s representative, a former high school science club member, allegedly said:
We’ve held good faith negotiations with Disney for several months. Unfortunately, despite our best efforts, we’ve been unable to reach an equitable agreement before our existing one expired, and their channels are no longer available on YouTube TV….We know this is frustrating news for our customers, and not what we wanted. We will continue conversations with Disney to advocate on your behalf in hopes of restoring their content on YouTube TV.
We have heard that Dopey rejected the Alphabet request for special access to the Lightning Lane and VIP parking.
Dopey was not available for comment. The write up includes this statement:
In September, YouTube TV had a similar dispute with NBCUniversal over carriage of their local affiliates and cable channels, but were able to reach a deal without the channels going dark. They were also recently in a carriage dispute with Roku, which prevented new subscribers from downloading the YouTube TV App. The two sides reached a deal last week that saw the app return to the platform. However, YouTube TV has dropped channels in the past. Most notably, in October 2020 they dropped Bally Sports (which were Fox Sports RSNs at the time), along with Sinclair-owned Tennis Channel and Boston-based RSN NESN.
Then Googzilla and Dopey, after listening to complaints of five-year-olds saw the light saber. “YouTube TV reaches deal with Disney to restore channels including ABC, ESPN” reported that despite the gap between Googzilla and Dopey:
CNET’s David Katzmaier notes, though, that while relatively brief, the two-day blackout was an inconvenience to YouTube TV customers who wanted to watch college football (bowl season starts this weekend), the NFL or the NBA on ESPN or ABC, or a Christmas special on the Disney Channel. Katzmaier has his own take on YouTube TV alternatives for bummed-out Disney and sports fans.
Googzilla and Dopey are planning a visit to Disney World over the holidays. Separate rooms, please.
Stephen E Arnold, December 20, 2021
Will The Google PR Carpet Bombing about AI Deliver Victory?
December 13, 2021
The short answer is, “Yes.” The mass market and niche content marketing is the obvious part of the program. There are some less obvious characteristics which warrant some attention. Run a query for Snorkel. What does one get? Here’s my result page on December 9, 2021:
The pictures are for scuba snorkels. But the first hit is not an advertisement, at least one that an entity compensated the Google to publish. The number one with a bullet is the Snorkel AI company. There you go. That’s either great performance from the circa 1998 algorithm, spectacular SEO, or something of interest to some entity at the Google.
What happens if I run a query for “AI”? Here’s what I saw on December 9, 2021
Amazon bought an ad and linked to its free AI solutions. The number one hit is:
The Google.
So what? Nudging, great SEO, some engineer’s manicured hand on the steering wheel?
I do know that most people have zero idea about smart software. What’s my source for this glittering generality? Navigate to “Survey Suggests 84% of Americans Are Illiterate about AI — So Here’s a Quiz to Test Your Own AI IQ.”
Those nudges, the PR, and the search results may amount to something; for example, framing, reformation, and dissemination of what the Google magical “algorithms” find most relevant. Google wants to win the battle for its approach to really good training data for machine learning. Really wants to win.
Stephen E Arnold, December 13, 2021
What Google Knows about the Honest You
December 10, 2021
I read this quote in a Kleenex story about Google’s lists of popular searches:
“You’re never as honest as you are with your search engine. You get a sense of what people genuinely care about and genuinely want to know — and not just how they’re presenting themselves to the rest of the world.”
The alleged Googler crafting this statement is a data editor. You can read more about the highly selective and unverified Google search trends in “What Google’s Trending Searches Say about America in 2021.”
For me, the statement allows several observations:
- A person acting in an unguarded way reveals information not usually disseminated in “guarded” settings; for example, a job interview
- The word “honest” implies an unvarnished look at the psycho-social factors within a single person
- A collection of data points about the psycho-social aspects of a single person makes it possible to tag, classify, and relate that individual to others. Numerical procedures allow a person or system with access to those data to predict certain behaviors, predispositions, or actions.
Thus, the collection of searches, clicks, and items created by an individual using Google services such as Gmail and YouTube create a palette of color from which a data maestro can paint a picture.
Predestination has never been easier, more automatable, or cheaper to convert into an actionable knowledgebase for smart software. Yep, just simple queries. Useful indeed.
Stephen E Arnold, December 10, 2021
Google and Its Big AI PR Campaign
December 9, 2021
I spotted “DeepMind Says Its New Language Model Can Beat Others 25 Times Its Size.” In my opinion, this is part of the Google play to sail forward with its alleged better, faster, cheaper method of training machine learning models. Most people won’t care or know what’s underway. That’s okay because “information” is now channeled through specific conduits. As long as an answer is good enough or the payoff is big enough for the gatekeepers, the engineering is doing its job.
The write up is happily unaware of this push to use 60 percent or “good enough” accuracy to create the foundation for downstream training set generation. But, oh, boy, is that relaxed supervision great for matching ads. Good enough burns down inventory and it allows machine learning models to be trained on content domains quickly and without the friction imposed by mother hen subject matter experts, rigorous analysis and tuning, and retraining using human intermediated data sets.
Plus, skew, drift, and biases are smoothed out or made to go away. Well, that’s the theory.
The jazzy name Retro is not old school. It is new school. The lessons users will learn will take a long time to understand and appreciate its nuances.
This is a big business play and its accompanying PR campaign is working. Just ask Dr. Timnit Gebru, that is the former Google employee who raised the specter of bias, wonky outputs, and the potential for nudging users down the Googley path.
For another example of Google’s AI PR push, navigate to “DeepMind’s New 280 Billion-Parameter Language Model Kicks GPT-3’s Butt in Accuracy.” Wow, just like quantum supremacy.
Stephen E Arnold, December 9, 2021